Track record
… published picks settled · … open — 1X2, goal totals (O/U) and BTTS on one bankroll, broken out per market below. Every pick hash-anchored and staked at a publish-frozen stake (½ Kelly shrunk from 15 Jul 2026; flat 1u before), graded at the publish-frozen odds on the 90-minute score — no cherry-picking, no deletions, no re-grading.
Pick grading: stake frozen at publish — flat 1u before 15 Jul 2026; after, the ½-Kelly-shrunk % applied to the record’s live bankroll at publish (100u start + settled P/L − stakes at risk in open picks, so winnings compound) — won → +stake × (odds − 1) · lost → −stake · ROI = units P/L ÷ units staked.
De-vig: market implied = (1/odds) ÷ overround (Σ 1/odds). Edge = model prob − de-vigged implied · picks require edge ≥ +2.5%.